Friday, January 19, 2018

Championship Sunday Predix: My SB Picks!

Hi, here is my weekly playoff picks and today I will be picking the conference championship game scores. I was 2-2 on predictions last week and I'm 4-4 this postseason. Here it is:

Jaguars @ Patriots:
This is actually going to be such a better match in the AFC Championship than Pats/Steelers would be. The Steelers are good but they can never quite catch up to the Pats. I believe the Jags have a chance. The Jags had such a strong game last week and they destroyed the Steelers all day. Their perfect D was on display. As we know, defense wins championships. Lets start by breaking down the Jags. Their offense is usually pretty bad but last week was one of their high points of the season. Blake Bortles the QB had an actual great game under a ton of pressure. RB Leonard Fournette ran for 100+ yards and 3 TDs. He was a force. He will be hard to stop this week. The Jags O line has been so great also this postseason. WR's Keelan Cole and Marqise Lee haven't been doing too much this postseason but I think on the right day they can break out very much and have huge games. I say this every week but Keelan Cole could be the X-factor. The rookie WR has had no recognition for an amazing rookie season. Blake Bortles is another X-factor. He needs to have another game like last week if they want to dethrone the reigning champs. The defense...there isn't much to talk about. There is but you can sum it up really quickly. They are the best defense in the league. Both of their corners are the #1 and 2 corners overall in the league. Their D line is stacked. Their secondary is stacked. This defense is top notch but will face its toughest task yet. If it completes it, this defense could have a run at history. Tom Brady will be a lot for this Jags D but I think they are up for the challenge. Now lets break down the Pats. Tom Brady is a storyline. Earlier this week in practice Brady apparently knocked his throwing hand on another players helmet and it was gushing blood. Brady was apparently getting stitches after that and was in some pain. Brady has missed a few practices this week and is questionable for the game. I think he will play. Apparently he also went out and threw footballs and was looking good (NFL.com). I think even if he is hurting he will obviously play. Its the AFC championship. C'mon. Of course he will play. If not, Brian Hoyer the former 49er starting QB will suit up and start. Assuming Brady will play, the normal Pats O should be looking good. We've got the amazing RB duo in Dion Lewis and Rex Burkhead who together are hard to stop even possibly for the Jags D. I think the Jags D is still up for the challenge. The WR core is also so good. You have speedster WR1 Brandin Cooks who Brady loves chucking the ball to. TE Rob Gronkowski who always gets wide open for huge gains and tons of TDs. Then the Pats also have a great O-line that may be able to widthstand some of the Jags playmaking pass rushers. This offense will have a test but they are the team in the league most prepared for it. The Pats D is not top tier but its pretty good. Late top 10 ranked. Their CBs are good which could help against the Jags young WR core. I think this is going to be SUCH a great game and it could be low scoring or high scoring. The Pats have the edge with their playoff experience and going up against a great defense that is also pretty young. The Jags offense is suspect but can be good and that defense though...Its a close call but I have to pick for the AFC super bowl representative...
FINAL SCORE: Jaguars 31, Patriots 28 (UPSET!!!! JAGS ARE GOING TO THE SUPER BOWL!)
(Fun fact: Jags staff member Tom Coughlin who used to coach Giants is only coach to defeat Brady in the Super Bowl. Could he be a difference maker?)

Vikings @ Eagles:
This could either be a blowout or a game like the Eagles/Falcons last week. In my head I have a clear winner but I'll wait until the end to blurt it. Lets start by breaking down the home field Eagles. They were not favored last week and I thought they would get killed by the red hot Falcons. Nope. Their defense played as well as it has all season and Nick Foles stepped up like he needed to so Philly could win and move onto the NFC championship. Now Philly faces a tougher task, the white hot Vikings. QB Nick Foles once again will NEED to have a great game. I think he may even have to be better than he was last week. I am confident he can do it even against such a good Vikings defense who may be the 2nd best in the league. WR's and TE's will need Foles to do well if they want to have a great game. Alshon Jeffrey and Nelson Agholor are big factors again this week. If they can get space and get open it could be huge for Nick Foles and the Eagles offense. TE Zach Ertz also once again is a big factor. He is such a great tight end and he could give Nick Foles a big option. Rob Gronkowski is not the lone elite TE left in the playoffs. As we know, the Eagles have such a great run game and will need to use it to their advantage to trick the Vikings D and run some mismatch. The Eagles O is the best in the league and is a lock to give them time to develop plays. Now the Eagles D. Their pass rush is pretty good. I love Fletcher Cox and he is such a stud and a defensive difference maker. Brandon Graham is also amazing and forgotten about. He will sneak up on you and play elite. Timmy Jernigan is such a breakout and he has been such a force for Philly. The Eagles CB room is also so good especially when Ronald Darby is playing like last week. Malcolm Jenkins is also a forgotten about elite safety who will beat you on defense. This Philly team isn't as much of a joke as you think. Now lets go to the Vikings. What a finish last week. It can't come down to the wire again for them because in recent history, the Vikings have not been good when there is a time constraint. Case Keenum I will say again and again is actually and elite QB. I love what he has done this year and think he has potential to become an elite QB for seasons to come. Some say he has been average but I disagree. He will need to be as good as usual and the Vikings could be tough to defeat. As we know the Vikes have a very strong offense. Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen are both top receivers. Especially Thielen who I now also consider elite. The Vikings RBs I also love. Latavius Murray does not look like an aging vet but he has actually been SO good this season. Imagine how good they'd be if Dalvin Cook wasn't hurt. TE Kyle Rudolph is an X-factor who may find ways open and get some big catches. The Vikings D is probably 2nd best in the league. They feature stars all over the board. Let me name them: Linval Joesph, Xavier Rhodes, Everson Griffin, Danielle Hunter, Eric Kendricks. There are even more but I'm just naming a few. They will be a handful for Nick Foles and the Eagles offense. I love Case Keenum and the Vikings are on a roll and even though they are away, they are the better team clearly and I have to give the Vikings the win prediction!
FINAL SCORE: Vikings 28, Eagles 17
(FUN FACT: If the Vikings win and make it to the Super Bowl, they will be the first team in NFL history to play at home in the Super Bowl. Super bowl home field advantage?!!)

Thanks for reading my predictions for championship weekend. If I'm right, Super Bowl 52 will be Vikings/Jaguars which would be an amazing game!! Here are the possible Super Bowls:
Vikings/Jaguars, Vikings/Patriots, Eagles/Patriots, Eagles/Jaguars
I'm going to rank from 1 (most likely) to 4 (least likely) on what I think the match up could be:
1. Vikings/Jaguars
2. Vikings/Patriots
3. Patriots/Eagles
4. Jaguars/Eagles

1 comment:

  1. Maybe so maybe not; control for smilers can’t be bought. Seriously pretty impressive insight, keep it up please. Good stuff. Just be careful, Tom Brady is a dangerous competitor, even with a jammed thumb. And for stitches, if that’s the case, with a few on the webbing perhaps????

    That prediction looks better now. Yes, you definitely thought out your predictions....so well done! And I’m a patriots fan :-) I will keep checking in, as I hope you analyze other sports. Especially La Liga Spanish soccer. Thank you And keep up the good work :-)

    Best, Trip S

    ReplyDelete